Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 39 · v1

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 2 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 19 May 2026 at 01:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 37 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 18 at 7:38PM CDT until May 18 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Omaha/Valley NE

Urban PEI: 56,308 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

7 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.90/1
Coordinates39.3415, -96.1682
Nearest CityManhattan (39 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)56.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-19T00:38:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2ad28d8dd7051d5f27fd8aa769a95ce7

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-05-19T00:38:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-05-19T00:39:50.563Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescPage, IA; Atchison, KS; Harrison, IA; Shelby, IA and 10 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued May 18 at 7:38PM CDT until May 18 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS Omaha/Valley NE
Expires2026-05-18T20:00:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Omaha/Valley NE
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount13
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2ad28d8dd7051d5f27fd8aa769a95ce73863d293.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.18c9b861a746e7143096f43406a77cb0bee71c2a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.94939360de54bc241013d5cb2521c8a176cff75d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.69c489161c76c18bcfea979451b8a87d41bb711f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cfbc247b127232643298e1648fc4cc567b6e7bb3.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0a264ca16894152c654992bf3e0e91f397dd9368.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.48d743ee90986a8840c2f045200de0f10ed74d91.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b66a090e443a9502946bec235a664b26eb11e089.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e972331356a184fc234e0ff633770105f6285792.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.003effb5a33a098ef72eec997887901e302f87ec.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8aeeb96fa7eb007b2bcbcfaeb3170c02ddb9c03e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a944724d9dc24c2dfd8664a96418c135d292fdff.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2f7d1806147c255b31011e3727e435d878c00af9.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude65
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City4 S Holton
Iem CountyJackson
Iem StateKS
Iem WfoTOP
Iem RemarkMeasured on a personal weather station.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_39.110_-96.710_1779146520000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779146520000,"latitude":39.11,"longitude":-96.71},{"id":"iem_T_39.240_-97.020_1779143400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779143400000,"latitude":39.24,"longitude":-97.02},{"id":"iem_G_39.230_-96.570_1779146880000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779146880000,"latitude":39.23,"longitude":-96.57},{"id":"iem_G_39.270_-96.520_1779147660000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779147660000,"latitude":39.27,"longitude":-96.52},{"id":"iem_G_39.230_-96.340_1779148140000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779148140000,"latitude":39.23,"longitude":-96.34},{"id":"iem_G_39.400_-95.750_1779150360000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779150360000,"latitude":39.4,"longitude":-95.75}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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